Sunday, August 10, 2008

Blu-ray players stuck above $300

Pricewatch – HD DVD players are gone for almost half a year and the victorious Blu-ray format is plugging along, but there seems to be few convincing incentives for consumers to actually make the jump to the high-def format. Average retail prices are falling and have broken through the $400 barrier. The next barrier is $300 and it seems that most companies believe that a price of or around $300 is about right at this time.
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As far as prices are concerned, the death of the HD DVD format was about the worst thing that could have happened to consumers interested in buying a high-definition playback device. Even the Blu-ray camp engaged in some price-focused competition – by giving away free movies and even free players with new HDTVs. With the competition being buried and no future rival (HD movie downloads?) in sight Blu-ray has been dominating the field. Prices are coming down, albeit at a pace that tells mainstream buyers to check back in 2009.

We consulted Pricegrabber.com’s pricing data to get an overview of the current market situation. The cheapest big-brand-name Blu-ray players you can buy today is Samsung’s BD-P1400 and Sony’s BDP-S300 model with average retail prices of $330 and $333, respectively. Some retailers are offering both players for just under $300 occasionally and if you are looking for a family room Blu-ray player now, then these are the two models to look for.

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It will take much more than just a new generation of Blu-ray players to drive prices into a mainstream market below $200. Our sources told us that we should not count on a $199 Blu-ray player this year. A price reduction and new entry-level model should be possible for $299 and possibly $249, but certainly not below that.

The true price erosion appears to be happening in higher price regions. For example, Panasonic’s DMP-BD30K has fallen below $400 for the first time just recently. The high-positioned BD50K has come down from more than $700 to just under $600 within the past four weeks. Sony’s BDP-S500 has also dropped from an average retail price of about $600 to below $500 in a matter of eight weeks.

Considering the current market situation, the price conscious consumer has two clear choices – either to stay with an upscaling DVD player that will cost less than a third of a new Blu-ray player, or to simply purchase a Playstation 3 (which includes a Blu-ray player), which appears to remain the best value in this segment due to its simple upgradeability and its other well-known entertainment features.

Or you can just wait a few more months and find out about Toshiba’s big DVD player secret. The company has reportedly been working on a Cell-processor powered DVD player than can deliver near-HD quality video playback from regular DVDs. The first Toshiba players should be out by the end of the year.

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